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Alaska Air Group acquires Hawaiian Airlines

Alaska Air Group's buying Hawaiian Airlines for $1.9 billion, including $900 million in debt. This is the second major airline merger proposed in less than two years, and I'm skeptical it'll actually close.

Hawaiian's been struggling. Southwest's been eating into their market share, and Asian travel hasn't bounced back like they hoped. Their stock tells the whole story - down nearly 53% this year to $4.86. Alaska's offering $18 per share, which is generous given the circumstances.

Shane Tackett, Alaska's CFO, is calling this a "unique opportunity" to dominate premium travel to Hawaii. That's corporate speak for "we're buying a distressed competitor." But here's the thing - the Biden administration's Justice Department has been blocking airline mergers left and right. Look at what happened with JetBlue's attempted acquisitions.

Alaska CEO Ben Minicucci says he's confident the deal will get approved, pointing to their combined 1,400 daily flights and expanded network. I'm not buying it. Regulators are worried about consolidation reducing competition and raising prices for consumers.

The merger needs approval from regulators and Hawaiian shareholders, with an expected close in 12-18 months. I'd bet on delays or outright rejection. The combined company would be based in Seattle with Minicucci leading, but I'd wait to see if this actually happens before planning any organizational changes.

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